{"id":190861,"date":"2026-07-09T17:09:09","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T17:09:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/?p=190861"},"modified":"2026-07-09T17:17:17","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T17:17:17","slug":"volatility-prediction-in-trading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/volatility-prediction-in-trading\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644: \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"190861\" class=\"elementor elementor-190861\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6d67183 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"6d67183\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-394d798 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"394d798\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u064a\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (Volatility Prediction) \u0628\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u00ab\u062c\u0645\u0648\u062d\u00bb \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u062a\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0628\u0648\u0637\u060c \u0628\u0644 \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u064a\u0647\u0645\u0651 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0641\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0630\u0643\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648<a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/position-size-calculator\/\">\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/position-size-calculator\/\">\u0623\u062d\u062c\u0627\u0645<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/position-size-calculator\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632<\/a> \u0628\u0623\u0645\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0632\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0633\u062a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0637\u0631\u0642\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c GARCH \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a (ML). \u0648\u0633\u0646\u0628\u0642\u064a\u0647 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0651\u0632\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4e71503 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_key_takeaway\" data-id=\"4e71503\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_key_takeaway.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Key Takeaway -->\n\n<!-- Key Takeaways widget-->\n<div>\n  <!-- Key Takeaways Widget -->\n  <div class=\"key_takeaways_widget\">\n    <div class=\"title_wrapper\">\n      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/bookmark-2.svg\" alt=\"bookmark\" class=\"icon\">\n      <div class=\"title_txt\">\u0623\u0647\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"content_wrapper\">\n      <ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0644\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647. \u0641\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631\u060c \u0644\u0627 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u064b\u0627 \u0647\u0627\u0628\u0637\u064b\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f\u064b\u0627.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 (ATR\/HV) \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a\/VIX) \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629: \u0641\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0639\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u062d\u062f\u062b\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u062a\u0633\u0639\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646\u0642\u0648\u0635\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u00b7\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062d\u062c\u0645\u0643. \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641 ATR\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0651\u0633\u0639 \u0648\u0642\u0641\u0643 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b\u060c \u0648\u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0644\u0651 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u0643 \u0644\u0625\u0628\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629.<\/p>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Key Takeaway -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-bea9199 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"bea9199\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u061f<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a). \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0644\u0627 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/leverage\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0639\u0629<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/leverage\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/a>\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u0648\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0623\u0648 \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0637\u0627\u0642\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062c\u0646\u0651\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0641\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628 (XAUUSD) \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b 10 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u062b\u0645 \u0628\u062f\u0623 \u0641\u062c\u0623\u0629\u064b \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 30 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631\u064b\u0627\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628. \u0641\u0623\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0629\u064b. \u0648\u062a\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0623\u062d\u062c\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632.<\/p><h3><strong>\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u061f<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u062a\u062a\u0651\u0628\u0639 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0641\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629: \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u0643\u0631\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0645\u0651\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637. \u0641\u062a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0628\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0639\u062f\u0651\u0644 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644.<\/p><h4><strong>\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 (\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0647 \u0643\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642)<\/strong><\/h4><ul><li>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631 \u0623\u0641\u0642\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u064a).<\/li><li>\u0642\u0650\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 (ATR\/HV).<\/li><li>\u0627\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \/ VIX \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0636\u0627\u0621).<\/li><li>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u064b\u0627 (EWMA\/GARCH\/ML \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0641\u0642).<\/li><li>\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 (\u0648\u0642\u0641 + \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632).<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0000fbe elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"0000fbe\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"790\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-1-790x1024.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-190866\" alt=\"volatility prediction 1\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-1-790x1024.png 790w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-1-232x300.png 232w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-1-768x995.png 768w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-1.png 926w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 790px) 100vw, 790px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3d7b55c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3d7b55c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628: \u0645\u0646 \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629.<\/p><h2><strong>\u0623\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0651\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0651\u0646\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u0647\u062a\u0645\u0651 \u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627\u060c \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628:<\/p><ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 (\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629).<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062a\u064e\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a).<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-48d62a5 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"48d62a5\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629: \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0647\u0627\u062f\u0626\u064b\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 (\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636) \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0633\u0639\u0651\u0631 \u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u063a\u062f\u064b\u0627 (\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064d)\u060c \u062e\u0635\u0648\u0635\u064b\u0627 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u0627\u0626\u0641 \u0623\u0648 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0635\u0631\u0641 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e3e5432 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"e3e5432\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a)<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0645\u0627 \u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u0639\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u064a\u064f\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0644\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0636\u062c\u064a\u062c. \u0648\u064a\u062d\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 ATR \u0643\u0628\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637.<\/p><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 GBP\/USD \u0630\u0627 ATR(14) = 110 \u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637:<\/p><ul><li>\u0641\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0646\u062d\u0648 110 \u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0624\u062e\u0631\u064b\u0627.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0647 25 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u064a\u064f\u0631\u062c\u0651\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0636\u0648\u0636\u0627\u0621\u064b.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0647 120\u2013150 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a\u0629\u064b \u062a\u0628\u0639\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0633: \u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642\u061f<\/p><p>\u062c: \u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0645\u0651\u0639. \u0641\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0628\u0642\u0649 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629\u064b \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629\u064b \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0648\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646. \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644.<\/p><h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639)<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a (IV) \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a. \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631\u060c \u062a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u063a\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b \u0648\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642.<\/p><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 S&amp;P 500 \u0645\u0646 14\u066a \u0625\u0644\u0649 22\u066a:<\/p><ul><li>\u0641\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u064a\u0633\u0639\u0651\u0631 \u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0642\u0628\u0644\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0642\u062f \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0644\u0648 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0637\u0651\u062d\u064b\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628\u060c \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-536a89f elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"536a89f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0651\u0623 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c\u061b \u0628\u0644 \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626\u0629.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2145d32 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"2145d32\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0629)<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 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\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0641\u064a \u0623\u064a\u064c\u0651 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647. \u0641\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0651\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0646\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u0649 \u064a\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9ebf530 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"9ebf530\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-2-681x1024.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-190869\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-2-681x1024.png 681w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-2-200x300.png 200w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-2-768x1155.png 768w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-2.png 798w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 681px) 100vw, 681px\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-54fa13e elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"54fa13e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 (\u064a\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u064a\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644).<\/p><h2><strong>\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u0651\u064a<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u062a\u0646\u062f\u0631\u062c \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0645\u0651\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0648\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u0626\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639\u062a\u064a\u0646: \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627\u060c \u0646\u0627\u062f\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0645\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f. \u0628\u0644 \u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0627\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629. \u0641\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629\u060c \u062a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628. \u0648\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f\u060c \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0623\u0648 \u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0645\u062f\u0641\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b.<\/p><h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629. \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0634\u0627\u0626\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0651\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631. \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0626\u0639\u0629:<\/p><ul><li>\u0639\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 GARCH (\u062a\u0636\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637).<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a\u0629 (\u0645\u062b\u0644 ATR \u0648EWMA).<\/li><li>\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629: \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u060c \u0648\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0642\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0642\u0648\u064a \u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631.<\/li><li>\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u0641: \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u061b \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628.<\/li><\/ul><h4><strong>\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c <\/strong><strong>GARCH<\/strong><strong> \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c GARCH (\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0637\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0645\u0651\u0645 \u0628\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646) \u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0643\u0644\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0636\u0651\u062d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/terms\/g\/garch.asp#toc-how-garch-models-work-in-financial-analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Investopedia<\/a>\u060c \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0645 GARCH \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0634\u0631\u0637\u064a\u060c \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0641\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646\u064b\u0627 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u064b\u0627\u060c \u064a\u062f\u0631\u0643 GARCH \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u062a\u062c\u0645\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u062f\u0626\u0629.<\/p><h5>\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c GARCH \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/h5><p>\u0641\u0643\u0651\u0631 \u0641\u064a GARCH(1,1) \u0628\u0648\u0635\u0641\u0647 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0646\u0638\u064a\u0641\u064b\u0627: \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u062d\u062f\u0651\u062b \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u062f \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c GARCH \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a:<\/p><p>\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f:\u200f r\u209c = \u03bc + \u03b5\u209c<\/p><p>\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628):\u200f \u03c3\u00b2\u209c = \u03b1\u2080 + \u03b1\u2081\u00b7\u03b5\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081 + \u03b2\u2081\u00b7\u03c3\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081<\/p><p>\u062d\u064a\u062b:<\/p><ul><li>r\u209c: \u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 t.<\/li><li>\u03bc: \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639.<\/li><li>\u03b5\u209c: \u062d\u062f\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 t.<\/li><li>\u03c3\u209c: \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0637\u064a \u0639\u0646\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646 t (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646).<\/li><li>\u03b1\u2080: \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646.<\/li><li>\u03b1\u2081: \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0629.<\/li><li>\u03b5\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081: \u0645\u0631\u0628\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629.<\/li><li>\u03b2\u2081: \u0648\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a.<\/li><li>\u03c3\u00b2\u209c\u208b\u2081: \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0648\u0628\u0628\u0633\u0627\u0637\u0629\u060c \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 GARCH \u0625\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0645\u0631\u062c\u0651\u062d \u0644\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631:<\/p><ul><li>\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u062f \u064a\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0646\u062d\u0648\u0647.<\/li><li>\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642.<\/li><li>\u0623\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0635\u062f\u0645\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0633\u0629\u064b \u0628\u0645\u0631\u0628\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0648\u0627\u0642\u064a.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0648\u062a\u0632\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0645\u0646\u062d \u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0632\u0646\u064b\u0627 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u062b\u060c \u0623\u0634\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c \u0645\u0631\u062c\u0651\u062d \u0623\u0633\u0651\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0648\u062a\u062a\u064a\u062d \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0640GARCH \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0633\u0648\u0642\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a.<\/p><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0633\u0647\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b \u0646\u062d\u0648 1\u066a \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0648\u0633\u062c\u0651\u0644 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 4\u066a \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 GARCH \u064a\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u062b\u0645 \u064a\u062e\u0641\u0651\u0636\u0647 \u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u062f\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u062c\u0623\u0629\u064b \u0625\u0644\u0649 1\u066a.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c424b54 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"c424b54\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0631\u062f\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0628\u0643\u0631 \u0645\u0646 GARCH\u060c \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0641\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0623\u0635\u063a\u0631.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a42b526 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a42b526\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h5>\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0642\u0648\u0629 GARCH \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633<\/h5><p>\u0648\u0641\u0642\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0640 <a href=\"https:\/\/saltfinancial.com\/static\/uploads\/2021\/05\/The%20Laymans%20Guide%20to%20Volatility%20Forecasting.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Saltfinancial<\/a>\u060c \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c GARCH(1,1) \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u064a\u0646\u0628\u063a\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0647 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627.<\/p><p>\u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629:<\/p><ul><li>\u064a\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0628\u0627\u062a \u062c\u064a\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633.<\/li><li>\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u0637\u0627\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 (\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0631\u0651\u0636\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0645\u0634 \u0648\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0641\u0638\u0629).<\/li><li>\u064a\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0651\u062b \u0628\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f:<\/p><ul><li>\u064a\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0636 GARCH(1,1) \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644 (\u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0628\u0648\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0631 \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647).<\/li><li>\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0639\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0628\u0648\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631).<\/li><li>\u064a\u064f\u0628\u0646\u0649 \u063a\u0627\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u064a\u064f\u063a\u0641\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0628\u0643\u0631.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ba9765 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"4ba9765\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u062c\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062b\u0644\u060c \u0641\u064a\u0646\u0628\u063a\u064a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c EGARCH \u0623\u0648 GJR-GARCH.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-336c1bb elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"336c1bb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4><strong>\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u064a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a (ML) \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642. \u0641\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0641\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u062d\u0644\u0651\u0644 \u0622\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0634\u0641 \u0623\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0637 \u062e\u0641\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0640 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.insightbig.com\/post\/garch-vs-ml-models-vs-anns-which-one-for-volatility-prediction\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Insightbig<\/a>\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 (Random Forests) \u0648XGBoost \u0648\u0622\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062c\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0639\u0645\u0629 (SVR) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0648<a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/walk-forward-optimisation-in-trading\/\">\u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/walk-forward-optimisation-in-trading\/\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u0642<\/a>.<\/p><h5>\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u062e\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0632\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a<\/h5><p>\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0621. \u0641\u0647\u064a \u062a\u0646\u0634\u0626 \u0623\u0634\u062c\u0627\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0639\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629. \u0641\u0645\u062b\u0644\u064b\u0627\u060c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628\u060c \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0622\u0644\u064a \u0633\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062b\u0644:<\/p><ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645.<\/li><li>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 VIX.<\/li><li>\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a (\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u064a).<\/li><\/ul><p>\u062b\u0645 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0645\u062a\u064a\u0646.<\/p><p>\u0623\u0645\u0627 XGBoost \u0641\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0645\u064b\u0627. \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0647. \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629\u064b \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u0629\u064b \u0644\u0644\u0628\u064a\u062a\u0643\u0648\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0639\u062f\u0651\u0644 \u0623\u0648\u0632\u0627\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u064a\u0624\u062f\u0651\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0630\u0627\u062a \u0635\u0644\u0629: <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/lorentzian-classification\/\">\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/lorentzian-classification\/\">\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/lorentzian-classification\/\">\u0644\u0648\u0631\u0646\u062a\u0632\u064a\u0627\u0646<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/lorentzian-classification\/\"> (<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/lorentzian-classification\/\">Lorentzian<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/lorentzian-classification\/\">)<\/a>.<\/p><h4><strong>\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c <\/strong><strong>LSTM<\/strong><strong> \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0626\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 LSTM (\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649). \u0648\u062a\u062a\u0645\u064a\u0651\u0632 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a LSTM \u0628\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0645\u062e\u0637\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633. \u0641\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u00ab\u0630\u0627\u0643\u0631\u0629\u00bb \u0645\u062f\u0645\u062c\u0629 \u062a\u062a\u0630\u0643\u0651\u0631 \u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0639\u064a\u062f. \u0648\u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u060c \u062a\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638 LSTM \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0647\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u062d\u0627\u062f\u0651 \u0641\u064a \u062f\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0628\u0631\u060c \u0641\u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a:<\/p><p>\u0642\u062f \u064a\u062d\u0644\u0651\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c LSTM \u0622\u062e\u0631 50 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a EUR\/USD. \u0641\u064a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0641\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0646 50 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 150 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u063a\u062f\u064b\u0627. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0641.<\/p><h4><strong>\u0645\u0632\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u064a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0637\u0631\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642. \u0641\u0647\u0648 \u064a\u0648\u0641\u0651\u0631 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0642\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0628\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f\u0629. \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a \u0623\u0628\u0631\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u064a\u0648\u0628 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0628\u0633\u0651\u0637.<\/p><h5>\u0645\u0632\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a<\/h5><ul><li>\u064a\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u0651\u062f\u0629: \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0634\u0648\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648XGBoost \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0637 \u0645\u0646\u062d\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u0651\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u064f\u063a\u0641\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u064a\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629.<\/li><li>\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0646\u0648\u0651\u0639\u0629: \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0622\u0646\u064d \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u060c \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0644\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0637\u064a \u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u062f: \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c LSTM \u0623\u0634\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u0633\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0645\u0645\u062a\u0627\u0632\u0629 \u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0633\u0651\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0627\u062a\u064a: \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u062b\u0644 XGBoost \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u00ab\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0632\u064a\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u0651\u062c\u064a\u00bb\u060c \u0641\u062a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0626\u0647\u0627. \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639\u062a \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0639\u062f\u0651\u0644\u062a \u0623\u0648\u0632\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u0651\u0628 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623.<\/li><\/ul><h5>\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a<\/h5><ul><li>\u0645\u0634\u0643\u0644\u0629 \u00ab\u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u062f\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u062f\u00bb: \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0633\u064a\u0631. \u0641\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0648\u0646 \u0634\u0631\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628. \u0641\u0642\u062f \u064a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u062e\u0637\u0637 \u00ab\u0628\u0650\u0639\u00bb\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642 \u0648\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0635\u0639\u0651\u0628 \u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631.<\/li><li>\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621\u0645\u0629: \u062a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062d\u0641\u0638 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u062f\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0642\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a: \u064a\u062a\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0645\u0647\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0631\u0645\u062c\u0629 \u0628\u0644\u063a\u0629 Python \u0623\u0648 R \u0648\u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u0648\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a: \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0645\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0641\u0629. \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0621\u060c \u0641\u0633\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u062e\u0627\u0637\u0626\u0629.<\/li><\/ul><h4><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0635\u062f \u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0648\u0621 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0651\u0639\u0629) \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0648\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0627\u062d\u0629. \u0648\u0647\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0651\u0623 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0628\u062f\u0642\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0651\u0646 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u062a\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0647 \u0623\u062d\u062c\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u062a\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0647\u0645\u0627:<\/p><ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 (\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\/ATR).<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 (VIX).<\/li><\/ul><h5>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a \u0648ATR<\/h5><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a (HV) \u0648\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a (ATR) \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u064f\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b \u0643\u0627\u0646\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0645\u0639\u064a\u0627\u0631\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0626\u062f \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629\u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 ATR \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0630\u0644\u0643 <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/gap-fill-trading-strategy\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0641\u062c\u0648\u0627\u062a<\/a>. \u0648\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u063a\u0627\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648HV \u0648ATR \u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u062c\u062d\u0627\u0646 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u062a\u062c\u0645\u0651\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628. \u0648\u0636\u0639\u0641\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a \u0639\u062c\u0632\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b. \u0641\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u062c\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0639 \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629.<\/p><h5>\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (VIX) \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642<\/h5><p>\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.quantifiedstrategies.com\/how-can-volatility-indicators-help-predict-future-moves\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">quantified strategies<\/a>\u060c \u064a\u0642\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (VIX) \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u064a\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0628\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u062f\u064b\u0651\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a S&amp;P 500.<\/p><p>\u0648VIX \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0648\u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0633\u0639\u0651\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644. \u0648\u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u0633\u0645\u0651\u0649 \u00ab\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0648\u0641\u00bb.<\/p><ul><li>\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 VIX \u062d\u0648\u0644 12\u201315 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0647\u0627\u062f\u0626\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0625\u0644\u0649 25\u201330 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0648\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0641\u0632 VIX \u0641\u0648\u0642 40\u060c \u0639\u0627\u0643\u0633\u064b\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0639\u0631 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641.<\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9b76dbc elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"9b76dbc\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"936\" height=\"550\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-3.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-190872\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-3.png 936w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-3-300x176.png 300w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-3-768x451.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f544de7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f544de7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (VIX) \u064a\u0639\u0643\u0633 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0648\u064a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3e8e662 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"3e8e662\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629: \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u064a\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0646 VIX \u0639\u0646 \u0643\u062b\u0628 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0632\u0648\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0648\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-30a9d1f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"30a9d1f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062a\u0629 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0645\u0630\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u062a\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0646\u0642\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629:<\/p><ul><li>GARCH \u0643\u062e\u0637\u0651 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0651.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a\/VIX \u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0643\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639.<\/li><li>\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0622\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0629.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642 \u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646:<\/p><ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633: \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 GARCH = \u00ab\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629\u00bb.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0642\u0641\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0648 VIX\u060c \u0627\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639.<\/li><li>\u0645\u0631\u0634\u0651\u062d \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645: \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0642\u0641\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645\u060c \u0628\u062f\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u00ab\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\u00bb.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u064a\u0636\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a:<\/p><ul><li>\u062a\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0635\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631.<\/li><li>\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0641\u0631\u0637 \u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0646 \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u064f\u0636\u0628\u0637.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0641\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b\u060c \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0641\u0648\u0651\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0623\u062d\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0647\u062c.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-209d3da elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"209d3da\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-4-681x1024.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-190875\" alt=\"volatility prediction 4\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-4-681x1024.png 681w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-4-200x300.png 200w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-4-768x1155.png 768w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-4.png 798w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 681px) 100vw, 681px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b3b33a8 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b3b33a8\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u062c\u0645\u0639 GARCH \u0643\u062e\u0637\u0651 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u062d\u0638\u064a \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u0651\u0645 \u0622\u0644\u064a.<\/p><h2><strong>\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u062a\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0651\u0623 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0632\u064a\u062c\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0644\u062a\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062d\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642. \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0635\u0641\u0642\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644. \u0648\u0642\u062f \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u064a\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0624\u0643\u0651\u062f\u061b \u0641\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639 ATR \u0623\u0648 \u0639\u0631\u0636 \u0646\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062c\u0631 \u0628\u062f\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0645\u0637 \u0645\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0645.<\/p><h3><strong>\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u062a\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0651\u0623 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0647\u0645<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u0641\u064a \u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0647\u0645\u060c \u064a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0634\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 VIX \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d. \u0641\u0645\u0624\u0634\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0648\u0641 VIX \u064a\u062a\u062a\u0628\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639 \u0644\u0640S&amp;P 500. \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 VIX \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u062e\u0627\u0626\u0641\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0628\u0648\u0637\u064b\u0627 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d \u062d\u0627\u0633\u0645\u0629. \u0641\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0634\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u0631\u0649 \u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d\u0647\u0627\u060c \u064a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u0639\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0644\u062a\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u0651\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0647\u0645.<\/p><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a: \u062a\u062e\u064a\u0651\u0644 \u0633\u0647\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u062b\u0644 NVIDIA \u064a\u064f\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062f 400 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631. \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062d\u060c \u062a\u0648\u062d\u064a \u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0647 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0633\u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0623\u0648 \u0647\u0628\u0648\u0637\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u0645\u0642\u062f\u0627\u0631 20 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631\u064b\u0627. \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0651\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 5\u066a. \u0641\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0635\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0651\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u0642\u0637\u060c \u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u064a\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631.<\/p><h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0646\u0628\u064a<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u0644\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645. \u0641\u0647\u0646\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0644\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f. \u0648\u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u062c\u0644\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b \u062d\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u064f\u0641\u062a\u062d \u0644\u0646\u062f\u0646 \u0648\u0646\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0648\u0631\u0643 \u0645\u0639\u064b\u0627. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0651\u0628 \u0625\u0635\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0648 <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/nfp-report-trading-strategies\/\">\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/nfp-report-trading-strategies\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u0627\u0626\u0641<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/nfp-report-trading-strategies\/\">\u063a\u064a\u0631<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/nfp-report-trading-strategies\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629<\/a> (NFP)\u060c \u0642\u0641\u0632\u0627\u062a \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a: \u0641\u064a \u064a\u0648\u0645 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0627\u0621 \u0647\u0627\u062f\u0626\u060c \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0632\u0648\u062c EUR\/USD 30 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0639\u0629. \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0625\u0635\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0638\u0627\u0626\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 150 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0642\u064a\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/economic-calendar\/\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0648\u064a\u0645<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/economic-calendar\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629<\/a> \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0636\u0628\u0637.<\/p><h2><strong>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0651\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629\u064b\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0648\u0641\u0651\u0631 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0642\u064b\u0627 \u062d\u0627\u0633\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u064a\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627\u060c \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0645\u0648\u062b\u0648\u0642\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u0651\u062d\u0629. \u0641\u0628\u064a\u0626\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u062a\u0641\u0636\u0651\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0648\u0643 \u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0637\u0627\u0642\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u062a\u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0648\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u0629. \u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0641\u062a\u0641\u0636\u0651\u0644 \u062a\u0637\u0648\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0639\u0643\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0625\u0630 \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0627\u0632\u0641\u0629. \u0648\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0643\u0627\u0630\u0628\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0628\u0643\u0631 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0645\u0641\u0631\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0641\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0631\u062c\u064a\u062d\u064b\u0627 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-ff7f251 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"ff7f251\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629: \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0643\u0645\u0631\u0634\u0651\u062d \u062a\u0623\u0643\u064a\u062f: \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 + \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0639\u064b\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0642\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-280b02c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"280b02c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u00a0\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0629: <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\">\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0632<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\">\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\"> (<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\">Daily<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\">Bias<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/forex-market\/daily-bias-trading\/\">)<\/a><\/p><h3><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u062a\u0648\u062c\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0644\u062d\u0648\u0638\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a. \u0641\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0646\u0634\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0648\u062a\u0646\u0636\u062c \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639.<\/p><p>\u0648\u062a\u064f\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0643\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/vcp-pattern-strategy\/\">\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/vcp-pattern-strategy\/\">\u064b<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/vcp-pattern-strategy\/\">\u0627<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/vcp-pattern-strategy\/\">\u0645\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/vcp-pattern-strategy\/\">\u064b<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/market-analysis\/vcp-pattern-strategy\/\">\u0627<\/a> \u0645\u0639 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639 \u0628\u0647\u062f\u0648\u0621. \u0648\u0628\u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0639\u0631\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0645\u0639 \u062f\u062e\u0648\u0644 \u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u064a\u0646.<\/p><p>\u0641\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u060c \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0642 \u0633\u0647\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0633\u0643 \u0628\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0642\u0631\u0628 0.6\u066a \u0648\u064a\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 1.5\u20132\u066a\u060c \u0645\u0624\u0643\u0651\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647.<\/p><p>\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u062c\u062f\u064b\u0627 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u060c \u062e\u0635\u0648\u0635\u064b\u0627 \u0642\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0645\u0645 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0647\u064a\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0639 \u0628\u062f\u0627\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u0639\u0631.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646\u060c \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0633\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062a\u062f\u0644 \u064a\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062a\u0628\u0651\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u060c \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 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elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"928a388\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"936\" height=\"624\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-5.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-190878\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-5.png 936w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-5-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-5-768x512.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-90c14b4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"90c14b4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647\u0627\u062a: \u062a\u0643\u0648\u0651\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0636 \u0648\u0646\u0636\u062c\u0647 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628.<\/p><h3><strong>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 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decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629: \u0625\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0643 \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u064a\u062a\u064a\u062d \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u064a\u0651\u0641 \u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639\u064b\u0627 \u0628\u062a\u063a\u064a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0648\u0641 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u064b\u0627. \u0648\u0628\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0646\u0649\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u061b \u0628\u0644 \u0625\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-30282ba elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"30282ba\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2><strong>\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0646<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642 \u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0643 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\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u062a\u0651\u0633\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0646\u0628\u063a\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0647\u061f<\/li><li>\u0645\u0627 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0646\u0628\u063a\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u061f<\/li><li>\u0647\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0651\u0629 \u0623\u0645 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0651\u0629\u061f<\/li><\/ul><p>\u0648\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0621\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0644\u064a:<\/p><ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0645\u062b\u0644 ATR \u0623\u0648 EWMA \u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0641\u0648\u0651\u0642 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0642\u0651\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0644\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0644 \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629\u064b\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 GARCH\u060c \u0623\u0641\u0636\u0644 \u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u064a\u0631\u0643\u0651\u0632\u0648\u0646 \u0623\u0642\u0644\u0651 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u064a\u0646 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u062f.<\/li><\/ul><h3><strong>\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u064a\u0631\u0643\u0651\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0642\u0635\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0642\u0627\u0626\u0642 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0636\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u0645. \u0648\u064a\u062c\u0628 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data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h3><strong>\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u064a\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0647\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0645\u062f\u064a\u0631\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0641\u0638 \u0648\u0645\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 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elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"09eca68\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0638\u0629: \u0642\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0647\u0648 \u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0647\u0627. \u0641\u0647\u064a \u0628\u0637\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u064a\u0651\u0641 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u062c\u0626\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645. \u0648\u062a\u0643\u0645\u0646 \u0642\u0648\u0651\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0637\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0644\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0648\u0642\u064a\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a863e19 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"a863e19\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"681\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-6-681x1024.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-190881\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-6-681x1024.png 681w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-6-200x300.png 200w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-6-768x1155.png 768w, https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2026\/07\/volatility-prediction-6.png 798w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 681px) 100vw, 681px\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-81ba9ac elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"81ba9ac\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631: \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b.<\/p><h2><strong>\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0635\u0641\u0642\u062a\u0643.<\/p><h4><strong>\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644<\/strong><\/h4><ul><li>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0633\u0627\u0628: 10,000 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631.<\/li><li>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0635\u0641\u0642\u0629: 1\u066a = 100 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631.<\/li><li>\u0648\u0642\u0641 EUR\/USD: 80 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629.<\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/pip-calculator\/\">\u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/pip-calculator\/\">\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629<\/a> (\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644): 1 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 (\u064a\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0643\u0631\u0648\/\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0646\u064a).<\/li><\/ul><h4><strong>\u0642\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632<\/strong><\/h4><p>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 = \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u00f7 (\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u00d7 \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629).<\/p><p>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 = 100 \u00f7 (80 \u00d7 1) = 1.25 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u0643\u0634\u0627\u0641 1 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0627\u0631\/\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0629 (\u0627\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u062f).<\/p><p>\u0648\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641 ATR\u060c \u064a\u062a\u0651\u0633\u0639 \u0648\u0642\u0641\u0643 \u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b. \u0648\u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u062a\u0651\u0633\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0642\u0641\u060c \u0641\u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0644\u0651 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0644\u0625\u0628\u0642\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u062b\u0627\u0628\u062a\u0629.<\/p><h2><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0629 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0631 \u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642. \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0647 \u0644\u062a\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u0633\u0627\u0641\u0629 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0638\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628. \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637 \u0647\u0648: \u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631 \u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0645\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0642\u0650\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0641\u062d\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0637\u0627\u0628\u0642\u064b\u0627\u060c \u0648\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0648\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0636\u062d\u0629.<\/p><p>\u0648\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631\u064b\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062a\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u062b\u0648\u0642\u064a\u0629\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0642\u0651\u0642 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0641\u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0646\u060c \u064a\u062d\u0630\u0651\u0631\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0645\u0646 \u0638\u0631\u0648\u0641 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0623\u062d\u062f\u0627\u062b.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-99620e6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-ucaddon_blog_yellow_box\" data-id=\"99620e6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"ucaddon_blog_yellow_box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\n<!-- start Blog Yellow Box -->\n\n<!-- Yellow content box -->\n<div class=\"yellow_content_box\">\n  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.arongroups.co\/uploads\/2024\/12\/sms-star.svg\" alt=\"sms-star\">\n  <p>\n    <p>\u0625\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0624\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631<\/p><p>\u0639\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642\u0627\u062a (CFDs) \u0623\u062f\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0642\u0651\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0646\u0637\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0641\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u064a\u0646\u0628\u063a\u064a \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0641\u0647\u0645\u0643 \u0644\u0622\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0639\u0642\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u064a\u0651\u0645 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u062a\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062d\u0645\u0651\u0644 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644\u0643. \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0636\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0627\u0626\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629. \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0642\u062f\u064e\u0651\u0645 \u0644\u0623\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u062a\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0648\u0644\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u0639\u062f\u0651 \u0646\u0635\u064a\u062d\u0629 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n  <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<!-- end Blog Yellow Box -->\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u064a\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 (Volatility Prediction) \u0628\u0645\u062f\u0649 \u00ab\u062c\u0645\u0648\u062d\u00bb \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u064b\u0627. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644 \u062a\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0628\u0648\u0637\u060c \u0628\u0644 \u064a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u064a\u0647\u0645\u0651 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0631\u0643\u0633 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0642\u0641\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0633\u0631\u0639\u0629. \u0648\u064a\u0633\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0628\u0624 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0630 \u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0630\u0643\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0631 \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0623\u062d\u062c\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0628\u0623\u0645\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u062e\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0632\u0627\u062c [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":31,"featured_media":190862,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1545],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-190861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/31"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190861"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190861\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":190886,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190861\/revisions\/190886"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/190862"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arongroups.co\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}